Predicting if the Pandemic stage will begin to end soon
I made a prediction in my last newsletter that the US Case Count would be Begin to rapidly drop in 4-6 weeks and. I was right. You never know what really will happen with this wily virus, but I’m goong to make another prediction.
It is my personal opinion that the next 4-6 weeks will be very telling for the fate of travel in 2022. Right now we are seeing several countries cutting back in country covid restrictions and even some, a few, Travel restrictions. Some of the countries that are turning about are some of the countries that hit covid restrictions with the most vigor.
Israel and the UK, Scandinavia and other countries including Australia. If you’ve been keeping an Eye on the land down under that last one is very surprising. Now, I’m not here to promote or condemn the loosening of restrictions. I find myself simultaneously worried and so sick of restrictions myself I feel nearly ready to let it rip myself. If I had a child under 5 I’d be less cavalier, my daughter is 7 and as vaccinated as a marine on day one of boot camp. OORAH, MADDIE, OORAH!
Anyway, while I’ve been watching Case Counts for literally years now I think it’s time to move to watch (this is cheery) Hospitalizations and Deaths. If those stay fare enough Pandemic peak levels, then I think we will start to see the travel restrictions come off.
And then my friends. The Travel Game is on and OMG. The prices are looking rough. Some countries are betting on it. I pulled higher prices in Paris for this summer than I’ve ever seen before.
I’m still a proponent of getting options that are flexible early, but if you are hoping to travel in 2023. Keep your ear to the ground. Tracking flights with Google is great. I’m going to take a little while soon to look for an article on strategies on this. I have a few small things I do like isolating certain routes and nonstop flights and focusing on key travel days. I may write one, but I bet somebody has. If you see one, send it my way please.
